a b s t r a c t
In this paper we examine the long-run relationship between gold and oil spot and futures markets. We
draw on the conceptual framework that when oil price rises, it creates inflationary pressures, which instigate
investments in gold as a hedge against inflation. We test for the long-run relationship between gold
and oil futures prices at different maturity and unravel evidence of cointegration. This implies that: (a)
investors use the gold market as a hedge against inflation and (b) the oil market can be used to predict
the gold market prices and vice versa, thus these two markets are jointly inefficient, at least for the sample
period considered in this study
Keywords:
Gold
Oil
Spot and futures markets
Inflation
Cointegration
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